The Dream Scorpions Scenario

A roadmap to how San Antonio can still grasp the league title
by Chris Hockman   |   Friday, June 07, 2013

Defending The Fort - column on San Antonio Scorpions (SASFC) & the San Antonio soccer scene.

The San Antonio Scorpions have their final week off for the spring season. And with a win last week, there's a hint of a dramatic come back, even though there's still a lot of work to be done. How much?

Week 10 - June 8, 2013

The Scorpions don't have a match this week, so the best situation for the the team is that they only give up 1 point to every team. That sounds silly, but the NASL has seen plenty of weeks like this, so let's enter those in to the table.

The ideal results:
Carolina 2-2 Tampa Bay
Atlanta 1-1 Edmonton
Minnesota 0-0 Fort Lauderdale

First: Atlanta, 4-2-2; 14 points, 2 GD
Scorpions (last place): 2-2-2; 8 points, -3 GD

The Scorpions end in last place at the end of this week, but only 6 points off pace. The worst-case scenario would be an Atlanta win and a Ft. Lauderdale win, leaving the Scorpions 9 points back and Fort Lauderdale 3 points clear.

Week 11 - June 15-16, 2013

The Scorpions will travel to Tampa Bay for this week, and it's certainly possible they could get a good-result here. They'll be looking for revenge for Tampa Bay ruining the house warming party to kick off the season when San Antonio opened its new stadium. The Rowdies are still alive in the US Open Cup, which could prove a distraction.

The ideal results:
Ft. Lauderdale 1-0 Atlanta
Tampa Bay 0-3 San Antonio
Edmonton 0-0 Carolina

First: Carolina, 3-1-5; 14 points, 4 GD
Scorpions (6th place): 3-4-2; 11 points, 0 GD

The Scorpions would find themselves up just one position but now only 3 points back. These results have set up a dream finish for the promoters with the entire league separated by just 3 points, showing NASL's parity.

Week 12 - June 22, 2013

The Scorpions welcome Edmonton, and based on current form and their recent record at Toyota Field, this one should be winnable for the Alamo City club.

The ideal results:
Carolina 2-2 Minnesota
Atlanta 1-1 Tampa Bay
San Antonio 2-1 Edmonton

First: Carolina, 3-1-6; 15 points, 4 GD
Scorpions (3rd place): 4-4-2; 14 points, 1 GD

And so with 2 weeks left in the season, the Scorpions would find themselves just 1 point out of the top, and still left to play the team in first. Things would be looking fairly good from here.

Week 13 - June 29-30, 2013

Week 13 throws up a vital tie in the race for the title and one that is bound to help the Scorpions as Atlanta and Carolina face each other, inevitably eliminating one or the other from the title race. The Scorpions, though, head to Florida to play the Strikers.

The ideal results:
Carolina 2-2 Atlanta
Fort Lauderdale 1-2 San Antonio
Edmonton 1-2 Minnesota

First: San Antonio, 5-4-2; 17 points, 2GD

So with 1 week remaining, the Scorpions would be top, but still have work to do with Carolina, Minnesota and Atlanta still just a point back. Ft. Lauderdale would be eliminated with the loss to the Scorpions, and Edmonton's season finishes with it at the bottom of the table. Tampa may still be a mathematical shot, but the make-up of the matches in Week 14 rules them out of contention as well.

Week 14 - July 4, 2013

The Scorpions may well enter this round on top of the league, but they're far from done, just one point clear of an intimidating trio. They still need a win to seal their place in the Soccerbowl.

The ideal results:
Tampa Bay 3-2 Fort Lauderdale
Minnesota 2-2 Atlanta
San Antonio 2-1 Carolina

First: Scorpions, 6-4-2; 20 points, 3 GD

And so the Scorpions win the league in an entertaining last day. Tampa and Fort Lauderdale being already eliminated leads to an entertaining match, while Minnesota and Atlanta both desperately tried to win to knock-off the Scorpions, but couldn't allowing the Scorpions to relax as they get the news and win.

Keep in mind, these are the ideal results, it's highly unlikely that these fixtures will play out so perfectly for the Scorpions, but it's not entirely impossible.

This league is very tight and with just 2 wins, the Scorpions could jump from last to 3rd fairly quickly. But the biggest barrier for the Scorpions is their goal differential. Even in this dream scenario, they only end up with a 3 difference, which could haunt them as the title looks like going down to the wire.

It seems unlikely and implausible that the Scorpions will win the season. The biggest hurdle is Atlanta, which they won't play again, and that could well play as an advantage for the Silverbacks as they may avoid an in-form Scorpions team and claim the title, stunning the predictions at the start of the season.

NEXT UP: June 15 – San Antonio Scorpions vs. Tampa Bay Rowdies, Al Lang Stadium, St. Petersburg, Fla. 7:30 p.m. EST, TBD.


Univ W. Sydney & Youthworks Coll.
Club Domestic:
Houston Dynamo, San Antonio Scorpions, Austin Aztex
Club Foreign:
Central Coast Mariners
Originally from Australia found football (or soccer as you Yanks call it) a great connection in a new country. Freelance writer since 2005 covering Australian and US Soccer. Based out of San Antonio but can regularly be seen in Houston, Austin and Dallas.